David Wilson ranking system

Description of the Wilson system

[much, much more information to go here]

[include link to David's original description that he wrote]

In the Wilson system, the following principles apply:

  • All games are weighted evenly -- distant games matter just as much as recent games
  • Location is ignored
  • The score is ignored
  • The only thing that matters, at all, is whether you win or lose

The system inherently balances results (win/loss) and strength of schedule (who you played).  Wins against strong opponents move you up, losses against weaker opponents move you down.

Where to get David's code

I have shared it on GitHub, please download and enjoy!

Example output

Here is the college football top 10 -- from right before the national championship games of January 2024 -- using David's formula in the FBS and then in the FCS.

Full files, conference standings, plus the list of games used are available at: https://talismanred.com/ratings/cf/wilson/

--- Division I FBS ---
                        W  L
                        -  -
  1  Washington        14  0   968
  2  Michigan          14  0   961
  3  Georgia           13  1   926
  4  Alabama           12  2   913
  5  Oregon            12  2   890
  6  Florida St.       13  1   889
  7  Texas             12  2   885
  8  Mississippi       11  2   878
     Ohio State        11  2   878
 10  Missouri          11  2   874
  
--- Division I FCS ---
                        W  L
                        -  -
  1  S. Dakota St.     14  0   810
  2  Montana           13  1   754
  3  South Dakota      10  3   744
  4  N. Dakota St.     11  4   720
  5  Montana St.        8  4   701
  6  Idaho              9  4   698
  7  Villanova         10  3   697
  8  Sacramento St.     8  5   682
  9  Albany (NY)       11  4   680
 10  UC Davis           7  4   679

 

Page updated on August 9th, 2024



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